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Why do I have to be Mr. Pink?
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Compounding the danger of a prolonged conflict is the reality of “trapped” spare capacity. While the global market normally relies on spare capacity in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait to buffer against price shocks, Struyven explained that those barrels typically must flow through the Strait of Hormuz to reach global buyers. Consequently, as long as the Strait remains compromised, that spare capacity cannot be physically deployed. Furthermore, while the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) could be used as a textbook response to sustained disruptions, the SPR currently holds around 415 million barrels—more than 200 million barrels lower than it was prior to the 2022 energy crisis.
换句话说，以色列的基础设施直接关系到全球云服务和AI算力的连续性。正如2025年下半年观察到的趋势，英特尔等公司的任何动荡都会在全球半导体设备制造和供应端引起连锁反应。如果地区局势严重恶化，可能在数月内对全球芯片供应造成扰动，并推高部分芯片价格，尤其是高性能计算和网络设备相关产品。
The universal cover of a doughnut