The four-week timeline priced in by the market represents a critical threshold for the global economy. Struyven noted that the impact on oil prices is a “convex function” of the disruption’s length. If the conflict is brief—lasting only a few days or a week—the impact on prices will be disproportionately smaller. In a short-term scenario, crude oil can simply be stored on land in Middle Eastern producing countries, delaying deliveries but leaving the cumulative global supply unaffected—a workaround if Iran’s threats of shutting down the Strait stretch come to fruition.
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实地察看商户经营情况、督促整改卫生问题、研究确定招商目标……这几天，李亚静的笔记本记得密密麻麻。不久前，39岁的她被提拔为金街管理委员会主任。
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Regardless, these threats do not change our position: we cannot in good conscience accede to their request.